MEMPHIS – Clouds continue to thicken up as you read this as a batch of rain approaches from the northwest. The disturbance creating the rain will move through tonight leaving scattered storms in the outlook. We won’t see anything too serious outside of lightning and periodic heavy rain. Temperatures tonight under mostly cloudy skies will slowly fall into the low 70s. Monday morning, another disturbance will move through and the timing has improved some since we last spoke. It’s expected to bring widespread heavy rain and storms between 9am and 11am. Previous guidance had the heaviest action coming through in the heart of the commute. Still, my biggest concern tomorrow is the heavy rain potential which may turn into a flash flood issue. You’ll want to watch for ponding of water on the roads; if it happens, it’ll happen fast. Also keep in mind that roads will be extra stuffed with back to school traffic. If you don’t normally have extra time, make some. Monday afternoon the heaviest rain pushes east but many will be left with stormy leftovers and clouds. Highs Monday, compliments of clouds and rain, will be held back into the 80s. Tuesday has the potential to be a Monday repeat. Our latest computer models show another storm cluster forming over Kansas and Missouri Monday night then drifting south in time for Tuesday morning. The cluster then exits stage right Tuesday afternoon allowing for a decent heat up. Wednesday through next weekend look summery to say the least. If you’re new to me writing these, when I say “summery” I mean hot and humid with a few thunderstorms. A small shift in the track of a few upper level disturbances could change our extended forecast quickly. Stay tuned.
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Enjoy the last bits of your weekend and if you’re headed back to school, make it a great year!
-Meteorologist Sean Parker