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Memphis News & Weather | Memphis, TN | WATN - localmemphis.com

What will the weather be like on Mother's Day?

Here's an early look at the Mother's Day forecast.

Ongoing restrictions related to the COVID-19 pandemic will make Mother's Day look a bit different this year as many may need to connect digitally to wish mom a happy holiday. For those able to travel and pay a visit to mom, or for moms hoping to celebrate with some time outdoors, there will be some rather unusual weather conditions to contend with for the middle of May.

Mother's Day weekend will bring an unprecedented chill and weather more typical of late winter in the eastern United States. Moms who live in parts of Florida may need to dodge drenching rain. Meanwhile, summerlike heat is in store for some areas west of the Rockies.

"A southward pivot of the polar vortex, which was largely absent this winter, will contribute to a greatly convoluted jet stream across North America," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said.

Credit: AccuWeather
The Mother's Day weather forecast for 2020.

In the East, a southward dip in the jet stream will bring not only cold air and the likelihood of a frost and freeze, but also even some snow around part of the Midwest as a clipper storm from western Canada rolls along.

At the very least, that clipper storm will spread a zone of cold rain from the northern Plains on Saturday to the Great Lakes region on Sunday. Wet snowflakes can mix in at times with even a wintry mix of rain, sleet and wet snow and perhaps light, slushy accumulations in the upper Great Lakes.

Afternoon showers will suppress temperatures to near 50 in Chicago, where the normal high is 68 degrees. Clouds will keep conditions cool in Detroit as well with a high about 10 degrees below the normal high of 67.

Spotty rain showers will dot areas from the middle Mississippi Valley to the Ohio Valley, where there may even be a thunderstorm that produces small hail.

Thanks to clouds and the cold precipitation, high temperatures in much of the Midwest may be as much as 30 degrees Fahrenheit below average. In parts of the Midwest, highs may only reach into the 30s and the lower 40s on Mother's Day.

In the Northeast, there will be an abnormal chill for this time in May, especially in the morning, where some areas will be recovering from a frost or freeze in the wake of a recent snowfall.

Only strong mid-May sunshine will allow temperatures to recover a bit during the afternoon in the Northeast, although highs will remain 10 to 20 degrees below normal levels, which range from the mid-60s in Boston to near 70 in New York City and the mid-70s in Washington, D.C.

Where clouds increase in advance of the approaching clipper storm, as will be the case in the central Appalachians and eastern Great Lakes area, it will likely turn chilly once again prior to sunset.

Strong May sunshine will help remove the chill during the day over the South as well. "Much of the South is likely to have delightful weather, but the chill will be most noticeable in the shade and at the start of the day with record-challenging lows," Anderson said.

Since the cold air will have pushed all the way into the Gulf of Mexico and even the northern Caribbean Sea, a storm is forecast to form along the temperature contrast zone early on in the weekend.

"That same storm can bring drenching rain and isolated flooding to South Texas and northeastern Mexico from Friday night to Saturday and then the central and southern part of the Florida Peninsula by Mother's Day," Isaac Longley, AccuWeather forecaster, said.

"The rain is needed in both areas due to ongoing drought, but many people might rather have it on a different weekend," Longley added.

People accustomed to spending time outdoors on Mother's Day over the Florida Peninsula may want to consider alternative plans or perhaps celebrate outdoor activities on Saturday instead as Sunday could be stormy and quite cool and wet.

"This storm system will have to be monitored for potential development as some early-season tropical systems have formed in this manner," Dan Kottlowski, AccuWeather's top hurricane expert, said. Tropical threats can form near the U.S. coastline early in the season along cold fronts that progress over the Gulf of Mexico and warmer waters of the western Atlantic.

AccuWeather's long-range meteorologists warned in the Atlantic hurricane season outlook released in late March that early-season formation of tropical systems could occur with unusually warm waters stretching from the Caribbean to east of the Bahamas this year.

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Farther west across the nation, dramatic differences in weather will exist over a short distance. The weather over parts of the High Plains and eastern slopes of the Rockies could be tricky because of that. A strong jet stream will be in place overhead, and a significant temperature contrast zone will exist from northeast to southwest.

For some, a lack of organized storm systems may translate to patchy clouds and seasonable temperatures, although should a weak storm system drop in, the weather could turn unsettled in a hurry with chilly air, clouds, some rain and perhaps even wet snow. The potential for this is greatest from parts of Wyoming and western Nebraska to Montana and the Dakotas.

West of the Rockies, the weather will be dry, sunny and quite warm as the summerlike weather pattern from this week continues to build into this weekend.

The greatest temperature departures from average in the West will be in the Northwest, where highs may challenge record levels in some locations. Typical high temperatures in Seattle are in the middle 60s, but actual highs may be in the lower to middle 80s this weekend.

Farther south, temperatures over California will be more typical of those in the middle to late June. Temperatures will be within a few degrees of 70 along the immediate coast with highs well into the 80s to near 90 inland.

Over the interior Southwest, highs are forecast to be in the upper 90s in Las Vegas and in the low 100s around Phoenix. Warmth will also extend into the Salt Lake Basin, with highs forecast to be within a few degrees of 80.

A weak disturbance may allow a few thunderstorms to fire off during the afternoon in parts of Arizona, New Mexico and southwestern Colorado.

Even though a wild weather pattern will be in place, the widespread chilly air in the East and the dry conditions in the West may limit the amount of severe weather across much of the nation, with a few exceptions, over the weekend.